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thauerbyi
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@thauerbyi
-53
about 19 hours ago
hive-engine
Who Holds the Negative Carry
Who Holds the Negative Carry The carry test is back, and it has no sense of humor. An asset yields more than the money that bought it or i
@thauerbyi
-53
2 days ago
hive-engine
A Hundred Trillion Won and a Shrug
A Hundred Trillion Won and a Shrug Prepared remarks to an investment committee, Thursday morning. Transcript lightly edited. Good morning
@thauerbyi
-53
3 days ago
hive-engine
Nobody Can Dye a Barrel Into Existence
Nobody Can Dye a Barrel Into Existence Somebody in Washington looked at a $6 diesel price, looked at a map of the Strait of Hormuz, and co
@thauerbyi
-53
4 days ago
hive-engine
The Laggard Is Worth $5.8 Trillion
The Laggard Is Worth $5.8 Trillion Only in 2026 can a stock close at an all-time high of $238.90, carry a market value of $5.78 trillion,
@thauerbyi
-53
5 days ago
hive-engine
Two Hundred Times Earnings, One Customer, and a Post on X
Two Hundred Times Earnings, One Customer, and a Post on X Two hundred times forward earnings, and what broke it was a post on X. I'd admir
@thauerbyi
-53
6 days ago
hive-engine
Eighty-Six Thousand Dollars of Memory
Eighty-Six Thousand Dollars of Memory Sunday, 02:40. A spot Bitcoin ETF allocator, awake, with the screen still on. Fine. Say it plainly.
@thauerbyi
-53
7 days ago
hive-engine
Eighty-Seven Percent and the Stock Went Down
Eighty-Seven Percent and the Stock Went Down Eighty-seven percent. Read it again. A memory company, a business that spent most of its life
@thauerbyi
-53
8 days ago
hive-engine
Crude Is Fixed. Tell That to Your Truck.
Crude Is Fixed. Tell That to Your Truck. Somebody call the oil desks and tell them to stand down, because the Gulf is back. Goldman reckon
@thauerbyi
-53
9 days ago
hive-engine
The Q3 Call of a Company You Don't Own
A fictional earnings call, Thursday, October 1. Ashgrove Industrial does not exist. The yields, the indexes and the Micron print around it
@thauerbyi
-53
10 days ago
hive-engine
Nobody Earns 86% on Memory for Long
Nobody Earns 86% on Memory for Long INTERNAL MEMO, FOR THE COMMITTEE, DRAFTED BEFORE THE BELL Subject: Tonight's Micron print, tomorrow's
@thauerbyi
-53
11 days ago
hive-engine
Who Is Holding the Pause
Who Is Holding the Pause Sunday night an AI lab told the world it had stopped its most capable models mid-stride, and by Monday morning in
@thauerbyi
-53
12 days ago
hive-engine
Otemachi
07:40, Otemachi The Nikkei is up 0.29% and nobody on this floor cares. Nobody is looking at it. Every screen is showing the same three numb
@thauerbyi
-53
13 days ago
hive-engine
The Greenland Trade Nobody Can Actually Execute
RISK DESK MEMO — Internal, Do Not Distribute Re: The Greenland Trade Nobody Can Actually Execute To: Desk heads From: Macro/Geopolitical Da
@thauerbyi
-53
14 days ago
hive-engine
RISK DESK MEMO: The Debasement Trade Has a Liquidity Problem
RISK DESK MEMO: The Debasement Trade Has a Liquidity Problem TO: Portfolio committee RE: Gold's 20% round trip and why nobody on the desk w
@thauerbyi
-53
15 days ago
hive-engine
Someone Already Lived Through This Number
Someone Already Lived Through This Number 3:47 AM. Can't sleep. The screen says 5.11% and I keep doing the math in my head like it'll chan
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