Has crypto finally bottomed?
or rather, has BTC bottomed?
Well, whichever way you like to look at it. Have we bottomed? This is the big question everyone is asking, since BTC hasn't retested the 58k range again in the past two months.
Infact a lot of people are now actually buying and it just looks like the market has bottomed because we haven't seen any outrageous dips in the past one month, just the regular dips we're used to seeing everyday, and the recovery that follows almost immediately.
However I just think the market might just be getting everyone all relaxed before the major dump that gets them to lose their mind, maybe I'm paranoid, maybe not, but ain't no way BTC is bottoming at 58k, and even worse, no way it bottomed in May, this is just "anti-market".
Even though you say "but we never really had a real bull market" I still think the market is following or trying to replicate patterns from yesteryears. I also understand that a lot of alts are still -92 to -93% from their all-time high in 2025, but this isn't enough reason to think the market has completely changed or now following another pattern.
I'll probably change my mind if till the end of 2026 and BTC didn't test the 58k range again or dump to 50k. (which I believe should be the bottom range) The reason I think so is because I don't believe 2027 will be a dump year for crypto, except the market fails to bottom this year and continue to stay within the 60k to 65k range.
I believe there has to be a dump somewhere and that dump might be coming in a few months, and if we don't get that till the end of the year, I think it'll be difficult for that to happen in 2027, even if the possibility is always there. I think 2027 might just be a drab year, and nothing might happen in terms of price, no development no new tech or anything except.
Personally I feel that the market might only begin to show significant change after the BTC halving in early 2028, and this is when everyone who is currently investing may begin to take profit.
But this isn't to say 2027 won't dump a lot, I just think that dump may be stipulated for Q4 or something like that, and it'll catch everyone unaware. I don't have much money at the money but even if I did, I won't be making any purchases until maybe mid Q4.
Maybe that's why I'm broke though, because I just know how to talk alone, and only those who are making moves are fit enough to talk, maybe not.
The market is something no one can actually talk about getting it 100% right, and the few people who have gotten it right are those who are less sentimental and have gotten it properly right.
This is why a proactive look at the market is something you learn to do when you've been burned too many times.
My final assessment
So I see my self as part of the people the market has burned, and that's why I think I now make deductions based on what's probably viable. So. I don't think the market has bottomed because another 20% dump from this current price is likely.
I don't think it'll be more than that, and that's why I think he 48k to 55k range might be the bottom. Another theory is that the market didn't pump as hard in 2025, so the dump might not be as hard either, and even if this was the case.
I still think a dump to 55k is inevitable, and that would be a dump from 65k (which it currently is) to around 55k, which is still not as bad. As for alts, the market is already red, so not pumping again in the next market pump will be outrageous which I think will not happen.
What do you think, what are your speculations so far? Has the market bottomed?
It is hard to predict the market nowadays. What I decided to do instead while it is still low (even if it can go lower), is start to do DCA buying on Bitcoin, Ethereum and two other assets in smaller proportion. This way I will be in a good position when the bulls come running again.
DCA is really a great choice, however I think that even if we see more dumps, it's not going to a lot anymore, and will mostly benefit people who are slowly DCAing. Overall, I think the expectations is to sell higher than you bought. So making profit in 2028 is inevitable.
There are a lot of signs of a bottom all around us. Primarily there are a massive wave of exchanges, dapps, crypto tokens and platforms that are shuttering their operations.
Just in the last day I saw Bitmex announce their closure which is a big deal considering they are fairly large exchange with around a billion dollars in crypto left in reserves. Also a popular dapp I used for a while which is called Odos also announced a sudden closure.
This year I saw a total apocalypse on Aptos projects where Moar markets, Aries markets, and a bunch of others shut down.
Investors are getting scared to put any money into anything at this point considering how fragile the markets have been. The daily volatility on the stock market alone has been insane.
Anyways I think we could see a further flush to get all the remaining bulls liquidity swept up. Then the large institutions like Blackrock will buy a massive amount and you'll see a revival of Bitcoin ETFs on Wallstreet and Digital Asset Treasury Companies buying more BTC too.
I don't think we have reach the bottom, Iran war is ramping and oil is going up, that's things that don't help crypto... Also houthi have declared naval block over Saudi
I don't think we've seen the bottom too, apart from the catalyst in the middle east that you've mentioned, I just think the market will do one more big dump, like you expect too
I hope we reach the bottom, because if not $HIVE could go down more due to market pressure.
More to say and less to
Speculate on matter.
By the way #clarityact could play a part and help $BTC.
2027 should be a great year.
I am waiting to see what the next #halving will bring.
The halving should happen in April or May of 2028, so I think after this, then we begin to see significant market pump that should make a lot of sense. Now, I think it's all about waiting and accumulating.
I hope the market has bottomed, but it's looking like we will see a big dump before it finally happens.
Yeah, that's the sad thing, it will affect Hive as well as other alts if it happens.
I woke up to discover that BTC reached a buy signal for me. I was expecting to reach it yesterday, but it didn't happen.
Congratulations, I think there will be a recovery in a few days though, so that's truly a buying window.
I think it's hard to predict the market, but it could just be a way to catch people off guard. They might just drop prices, then skyrocket after. The situation does look better than what it was 2 months ago though.
Yes, it's looking better than 2 months ago, I think we're yet to see the mother of all dumps, but it's always great to see some relief, even though I'm especially expecting some dumps soon